Dead Cat Bounce? Oil Prices After King Abdullah's Death

  • Subscribe to our RSS feed.
  • Twitter
  • StumbleUpon
  • Reddit
  • Facebook
  • Digg

Friday, 29 August 2014

IMF Conditionalities Don't Matter...If You're 'Ukraine'

Posted on 17:30 by Vicky daru
 If we go by the Weberian definition of what a state is, "Ukraine" fails on the counts of territorial integrity and having a monopoly on the legitimate use of force. Into this muddled picture comes the IMF. The characterization of the IMF as a Western tool is well-founded and not subject to much debate, at least in IPE circles. Today's case in point is the "country" of Ukraine. While Ukraine as we know it has ceased to exist and so has its economy, the IMF is busy shoveling wads of cash in Kiev's direction and will do so for as long as it doesn't go over to the dark side (Russia). Being broke would hasten that process. If you enjoy Orwellian official-speak, get a load of this IMF press release:
In completing the review, the Executive Board approved waivers of nonobservance of performance criteria related to international reserve accumulation and the cash deficit of the general government on the basis of corrective actions taken. The Board also approved waivers of applicability of performance criteria related to the cash deficit of the general government, the cumulative change in net domestic assets of the central bank and publicly guaranteed debt. In addition, in light of the slight delay in completing the first review of the program, the Board approved the authorities’ request for merging the remaining two reviews scheduled for 2014, while keeping the total financing under the arrangement unchanged.
Reading between the lines--in plain English--let me restate that for you:

Ukraine has met few to no conditionalities because its Eastern half is embroiled in civil war. Its economy is expected to contract by 6% in 2014. The so-called "government" in Kiev has made half-hearted reform gestures that won't work anyway so we'll give them credit even though the country has ceased to exist. Part of it has already been dismembered (Crimea) and another may soon follow (Eastern Ukraine). Because it's a warzone where they shoot down commercial jetliners, IMF officials would rather not visit Ukraine for security reasons. We'll just fork over the money without going through the motions of sending officials to "approve" of Ukraine's actions (which are insufficient anyway but what the hell, keeping "Ukraine" on the West's side is a cost-no-object endeavor). 

They're probably wishing they had Yanukovych back right about now. Christine Lagarde is marginally less obtuse:
The Ukrainian authorities have firmly implemented policies to stabilize the economy and revive growth. This strong policy record despite the much worse-than-expected environment is encouraging in light of the implementation problems that derailed previous programs and thus augurs well for the authorities’ ability to keep the program on track. However, the escalating conflict in the East and ongoing geopolitical tensions have weighed heavily on the economy and society, causing a deeper recession and deviations from program targets in the short term, in particular on the central bank’s net international reserves and the budget and Naftogaz deficits.
Elsewhere there's talk of "downside risks" and other euphemisms. The IPE Zone's refreshing candor on world politics: Don't leave home without it as an old advertising catchphrase used to say.
Email ThisBlogThis!Share to XShare to Facebook
Posted in IMF | No comments
Newer Post Older Post Home

0 comments:

Post a Comment

Subscribe to: Post Comments (Atom)

Popular Posts

  • Detours to Linking HK, Shanghai Stock Exchanges
    The Hong Kong Stock Exchange has yet to be, ah, Shanghaied The recent turmoil over student protesters jamming the normal course of traffic (...
  • National Debt That's 245% of GDP? No Worries, Japan
    Relaaaaax; it's not as bad as it looks for Japan? Economics Professor Masazumi Wakatabe at Waseda University was prompted to write comme...
  • Professional Stand-In-Liners, a Venezuelan Profession
    "Everyday I dream dipeys don't run out once I finally get into the store." To be sure, professional waiters-in-line are not u...
  • Russia Fun: Ruling on $100B Yukos Expropriation Claim
    Those were the days--and some hope to bring them back. Five years later, we are about to hear the decision on Russia's liabilities from ...
  • East / Southeast Asia's Demographic Bifurcation
    There's are always interesting demographic discussions about the "West and the Rest," but there are also interesting demograph...
  • Dive Contest: Russian Ruble v Ukrainian Hryvnia
    Only the bravest would take a position on the RUB/UAH exchange rate. In the Summer Olympics, they have a popular and quite watchable event c...
  • China Has Exhausted Its Goodwill in SE Asia
    Call it "Escape From the Killing Fields 2": China sending ships to repatriate its workers from Vietnam as anti-PRC riots there re...
  • A Bad Idea: Flying Passenger Jets Over Ukraine
    I am greatly saddened by the loss of Malaysia Airlines MH17 over the airspace of Ukraine. I have been following the disaster since it was re...
  • Sands' Sheldon Anderson 1, Online Gambling Stateside 0
    The US nanny state and a casino mogul combine to frustrate online gambling Stateside. For a long time, I have covered attempts to regulate I...
  • Egypt's World Beggary Tour 2013 Goes On
    The rise and millennia-long fall of the Egyptian Empire continues apace. From the giddy heights of empire catalogued in the Bible to its pre...

Categories

  • Aerospace
  • Africa
  • Agriculture
  • Americana
  • Anti-Globalization
  • APEC
  • Caribbean
  • Cars
  • Casino Capitalism
  • Cheneynomics
  • China
  • Commodities
  • Corruption
  • Credit Crisis
  • CSR
  • Culture
  • Currencies
  • Demography
  • Development
  • Economic Diplomacy
  • Economic History
  • Education
  • Egypt
  • Energy
  • Entertainment
  • Environment
  • Europe
  • FDI
  • Gambling
  • Gender Equality
  • Governance
  • Health
  • Hegemony
  • IMF
  • India
  • Innovation
  • Intellectual Property
  • Internet Governance
  • Japan
  • Labor
  • Latin America
  • Litigation
  • Marketing
  • Media
  • Microfinance
  • Middle East
  • Migration
  • Mining
  • MNCs
  • Multiculturalism
  • Neoliberalism
  • Nonsense
  • Outsourcing
  • Paris Club
  • Religion
  • Russia
  • Sanctions
  • Security
  • Service Announcement
  • Socialism
  • Soft Power
  • South Asia
  • South Korea
  • Southeast Asia
  • Sports
  • Supply Chain
  • Technology
  • Trade
  • Travel
  • Underground Economy
  • United Nations
  • World Bank

Blog Archive

  • ►  2015 (16)
    • ►  January (16)
  • ▼  2014 (295)
    • ►  December (21)
    • ►  November (27)
    • ►  October (27)
    • ►  September (24)
    • ▼  August (24)
      • Strange Times: al-Qaeda & US Against ISIS
      • Hong Kong, PRC, Democracy & the 'Sixth Column'
      • IMF Conditionalities Don't Matter...If You're 'Ukr...
      • Morgan Stanley & the Making of Rosneft
      • Modi's India: Japan or China as Business Muse
      • Will Ebola Stop the African Cup of Nations?
      • World's Governments vs Uber: In South Korea, India
      • The Big One: Saudi Arabia Sells Stocks to Foreigners
      • Another Papal Accolade: Top Car Salesman
      • Futbol Geopolitics: Crimean Clubs Join Russian Lea...
      • Money Laundering or Investment? Chinese Buy Oz Pro...
      • If Hell Comes: Preparing for UK's EU Departure
      • Physical Banks are History: Pakistan m-Banking
      • Chinese Fleeing PRC: The Hotel California Effect
      • Atlantic City or Detroit: Which Epitomizes US Decl...
      • Unlike China: India's Civil Approach to Territoria...
      • Could Military Rule Work? Thai Junta & Phuket
      • China's Plan on Full Yuan Convertibility in 2015
      • Pity the Children: 'War on Drugs' Fuels Asylum See...
      • USA vs Russia: Real Victims are the Chickens
      • Cultural Revolution 2: PRC Targets Apple, Mercedes...
      • Korean Revivalism: Choinomics, Not Abenomics
      • PRC Jihad vs US Tech: Norton, Kaspersky Banned
      • Singapore and the Demoncracy [sic] of Political Fr...
    • ►  July (28)
    • ►  June (27)
    • ►  May (27)
    • ►  April (29)
    • ►  March (23)
    • ►  February (18)
    • ►  January (20)
  • ►  2013 (183)
    • ►  December (15)
    • ►  November (17)
    • ►  October (19)
    • ►  September (21)
    • ►  August (14)
    • ►  July (17)
    • ►  June (16)
    • ►  May (8)
    • ►  April (9)
    • ►  March (13)
    • ►  February (14)
    • ►  January (20)
  • ►  2012 (4)
    • ►  December (4)
Powered by Blogger.

About Me

Vicky daru
View my complete profile